Calamity
CriticalSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 58

Severe Weather in United States

BollingerUnited StatesNOAA

This alert expired on 15 March 2026 at 23:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 127 recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026 — 6 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 3 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Tornado Warning issued March 15 at 6:10PM CDT until March 15 at 6:45PM CDT by NWS Lincoln IL

An estimated 18,181 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 15 March 2026

How we know

Confirmed by 6 independent sources, including NOAA.

Our own score for this event is 58 out of 100, at 87 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityCritical
Calamity Score (ours)58 / 100
Our confidence87%
Coordinates37.5531, -90.0480
Nearest CityFarmington (41 km)
Population Exposed18.2K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-03-15T23:10:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Tornado Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c40d763a14878dc8dfabc0efb0784e9a

Score Breakdown

95
intensity
40
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventTornado Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescDe Witt, IL; Macon, IL; Logan, IL; Clinton, IL; Washington, IL and 5 more areas
HeadlineTornado Warning issued March 15 at 6:10PM CDT until March 15 at 6:45PM CDT by NWS Lincoln IL
Expires2026-03-15T18:45:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS Lincoln IL
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount8
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c40d763a14878dc8dfabc0efb0784e9a6a0f0604.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.bfbee664386d60bac44f68fb21b0f4975834e9ca.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a95a0969ec539eb2cea5c1ed646594b36e9aa84c.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2558f5da9164901623fe094f22276b53a4d51386.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f840caf9fb555408ba518272380921fc82e6fd7c.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.9ac084940755a8a14859a3773823a1a2be312335.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f4277ae82aef2c101d3d74c850a6d3c02e0db2f1.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.51f71a3d05fd2895a81729b210d6ca79cb504386.001.1"]
Spc ReportTypewind
Spc SpeedUNK
Spc Location4 ENE Leadington
Spc CountySte. Genevieve
Spc StateMO
Spc CommentsTree debris is blocking a part of Hwy D just north of Hwy O. Time of damage estimated from radar. (LSX)
Iem TypeSummaryD
Iem City4 ENE Leadington
Iem CountySte. Genevieve
Iem StateMO

Safety Information

If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 58/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.